If you’ve been following Maltese current events during the last couple of months it would have been very difficult for you to miss the commotion caused by the leader of the opposition Joseph Muscat upon declaring that he will introduce the “living wage” concept in Malta when his Labour party is elected to power.
When I read this news from Brussels it took me by surprise, in a shocking kind of way. He said that employers will be encouraged to provide “decent” salaries to their employees, above the national minimum wage, so as to reduce the risk of people falling into poverty. To the unsuspecting observer the living wage concept might seem very sensible. To anyone with a basic knowledge of macroeconomics, however, it is evident that such a policy will backfire on the nation and create more poverty rather than less. I will proceed to explain why I think this will be the case.
Money makes the world go round
First of all, let us discuss what money is. Any decent book on economics will state in its first chapter that money is not wealth. It is rather a claim to wealth. Money therefore becomes wealth when it spent. A million bucks on a deserted island are worth zilch because there is nothing on which to spend them. Spending money also requires that whoever is receiving it can then spend it on something else. So money represents a promise of future wealth, and transactions represent the flow of wealth. When they are a form of a profitable payment, transactions actually represent the creation of wealth. So unless people have faith in the power of money, money is just a worthless piece of paper. But convince people that they can spend their money on things they desire, and they will willingly wake up in the wee hours of the morning to go to work, and if asked will even stand upside down for their pay-check. This promise of money being exchangeable with desired possessions and services is a very strong driving force. The whole economy is based on it. Remove this promise, and people will lose faith in money, and they will have little reason to work and generate wealth for others in exchange for wealth of their own.
Investment makes the money go round
The second point concerns investment. An investment means giving up money now in hopeful exchange of more of it some time in the future. It is investment that creates work and wealth, powered by those people who believe in money and thus report to work every day, foregoing time with their families in the process. Investment keeps everybody happy. But for someone to give up the power of his money today, he must have a darn good reason to do so. The reason is of course future profits. Remove the profit incentive, and the investor would be better off spending off his money today. The bad news of course is that in an environment that lacks investment there would be no businesses around to sell you stuff. So once again, your money would be worthless. Furthermore, there would be no jobs, but this would not be a problem either, since there would be little things on which to spend the money you’re paid with, so you’d stay at home growing potatoes.
So what keeps the system going is (i) a belief that money can be spent on things that we want and (ii) the promise that giving up money today will get us more money some time in the future.
Balancing market forces
To maintain this belief and promise of future returns, the market forces have to balance up naturally. Any external influence will create market insecurities, and people will start losing their faith in their money, and investors start losing their faith in the future. The price of a product or service must be determined by the supply in relation to its demand, and is adjusted by the seller to maximise profits in relation to his competitors. This naturally applies to the labour market as well. If an employer can’t find anybody to work at $1 per hour, he would be forced to raise the rate until he can find somebody who is willing to work for that offer. It also works the other way around. Given a high demand for a skill, a worker would be at leisure choosing from among different offers, and of course he will go for the best one.
The minimum wage
An employer is required to pay a minimum hourly rate because he is legally bound to do so. This can be a problem when the work the employee is doing does not generate enough value to cover his cost. Of course, one can argue that it is the business manager’s fault that the work done is not being sold according to market prices, but a simple counter-argument is that an employee can freely switch to an employer with better management skills to maximise the output of his work and who could therefore afford to pay him more. Many arguments such as this can always be made, but they always have counter-arguments. For instance, one can also argue that those employees paid lower than going market rates do not look for a better paying job due to their fear of change. The counter-argument to this is that it is natural for someone who takes risks to be paid more than someone who is risk averse. Another argument is that the employee will not find a job with better pay. In which case the counter-argument is that this only means that he is being paid the correct market rate.
Minimum wages can be a problem not just for the employer, but for the whole economy. Of course we do not sacrifice the individual for the sake of a perfect economic model, and a minimum wage has become an acceptable safety net in many countries. Essentially, by completely eliminating the supply of jobs commanding less than the minimum wage, we decrease economic efficiency so as to protect those who cannot generate a certain amount of income for themselves.
The decent lifestyle on a living wage
The “living wage” concept, on the other hand, takes this an extra step further. It attempts to define what the minimum “decent” lifestyle should be, an encourages employers to pay employees more than they are worth on the market. What is really scary though is that nobody knows what a “decent” lifestyle is. For some, a decent lifestyle may mean going on holiday at least once a year. For others, this would mean living in a three bedroom apartment. Yet for others it can mean having enough money to pay for a drug addiction. It all depends on one’s circumstances in life. For instance, someone with a family of three children in which he or she is the only breadwinner will require more money to cover their expenses than someone with no children. The living wage concept turns everything topsy-turvy. Instead of your income defining your lifestyle, your lifestyle defines your income. This would only work if, for instance, you would walk into a supermarket and find that prices differentiate insanely from other similar supermarkets, and when you complain, you are politely explained that prices are higher here because the owner needs to buy a new yacht in a couple of months (he’s got expensive tastes, m’hemmx x’taghmel). And you buy from there, because you think the living wage is a good idea. It’s that ridiculous.
Defining poverty
The definition of poverty is also somewhat vague, especially in a country like Malta where you can probably count on a single hand the people dying of hunger. This is because of the good social system already in place: offering free education for all, stipends to university students, relief for the unemployed, for single mothers and for people who cannot work for some reason or another. The socialists argue that the minimum wage has gone below the necessary income to keep someone out of poverty. I can see two types of “poor” people here: those who spend more than they earn because they cannot control their spending habits; and those who genuinely are the social exceptions and cannot do otherwise (e.g. due to health, disabilities and old age). The first group actually makes up most of the social cases, and includes also people earning much more than the minimum wage. Such people live beyond their means, for instance, by spending money on the latest gadgets, buying cars which clearly they cannot afford to run and maintain, and eating out regularly, to name a few. One can argue that a decent lifestyle includes eating at a restaurant every week, but then I will argue that a decent lifestyle for me constitutes owning a superyacht. It just does not follow. It’s all relative.
An economy may actually end up in a situation whereby some people do not earn enough money to put food on the table. This situation is typical in capitalist, free market economies, where minimum wages are very low or do not exist at all, and the owners of production become richer, prices get higher but workers’ income stays the same, causing mass poverty among the low-income earners. This is where the government has to butt in and provide a realistic minimum wage to enable everyone to survive, and in the meantime, retrain themselves to increase their prospects of finding a better paying job.
Public perception of their employers
Many employees have a false perception of their employer’s state of affairs. They think of their employer as a mint – a money-making factory – where the amount of money available is practically unlimited and that he can afford to pay them double or triple of what they currently make. True, it may be the case that an employer has hit it big with some innovative product that provides him with abnormal rates of return. However in most privately held companies, rates of return are normal and the employer can afford to pay himself no more than a regular salary reflecting his position and responsibility. This can still be out of the reach of a regular worker, but hey, nobody is stopping anybody from taking the plunge and starting a business. So unless your employer is the government, money is always limited, and you get paid for the value you add to the business.
Killing incentives for investment
The “living wage” concept will also reduce, if not completely eliminate, the incentive of investing one’s money. Labour costs will rise and this may drive some cost-sensitive industries out of business (e.g. labour-intensive businesses in which the profit margin is very low and profit is achieved by selling in large quantities). In any case, returns are lower, and an investor may decide that investing in government bonds with a return of 5% per annum is a better investment for equal risk. Ironically this money will be used by the government to subsidise living wages, either directly or indirectly. As is being proposed, living wages will also affect the amount of taxation collected in inland revenue. Fewer profits for companies means less corporate tax, and the extra income made by those on the living wage will either not be taxed at all or taxed using lower rates.
Killing incentives for career advancement
In a society whereby workers are paid according to their needs rather than according to their work, there will be little incentive to spend time and energy with improving one’s income, since the income will not be related to your skills anyway. Even if a position pays marginally better but requires much more responsibility, there will be little incentive to go through all that trouble. The skill-set of the labour market will eventually deteriorate, and highly skilled workers will have more reason to migrate to more liberal countries, creating a shortage of professionals in many important sectors such as health.
Room for irregularities with public contracts
Joseph Muscat claimed that paying a living wage is optional for employers, but employers will be encouraged to provide it using other measures. For instance, they can be given preference when bidding for public tenders. I BEG YOU PARDON? This will open up huge opportunities for irregularities. So first we mess up the system, and then we try to work around its drawbacks by creating more loopholes and complications. It just doesn’t work like that.
Labour movement and sub-markets
There is actually an exception to natural market forces. This is the discord between movement of labour and movement of goods. It is a known fact that there are sometimes big hurdles that stop many workers from moving from where there is excess supply to where there is excess demand, even within the same market. Because of this, cost of goods, which are easily shipped, can vary greatly between cities in the same country. In the UK for instance, due to the congestion in the Greater London region, prices of many products are higher than in other cities due to the greater demand, creating sub-markets. One can argue that this works as an incentive to drive people out of London, and for business owners to establish their business outside of London, and I tend to agree. These are in reality natural market forces at work. However relocating workers, especially in large numbers, can disrupt social ties and create other problems that can put more pressure on the economy than they actually solve.
The purpose of this point, however, is that this situation is completely irrelevant when discussing the situation in Malta. Malta is too small to be affected by sub-markets. Any reference to UK’s Ed Milliband and his call for a living wage for London residents would be a complete non sequitur.
The solution
One word: EDUCATION. Despite offering our students free education, and on top of that, a stipend for Junior College and University, Malta still ranks the lowest in the rate of students entering tertiary education in the whole of the European Union. Eastern European countries are far ahead of us in this regard, possibly because they are desperate to move to the richer countries; and this would only be realistically possible if they can manage to secure a good education for themselves. On the other hand in Malta, the stipend system seems to be failing at encouraging students to pursue degrees. Instead I believe it is having the complete opposite effect. My theory is that when youngsters look at University, they see it as a source of finance, rather than as a source of education first and foremost. When they compare it to the other options, such as an entry-level job at a minimum wage, it doesn’t match up, so they would prefer being a cashier at the local supermarket, not thinking the least about what’s “in store” for tomorrow.
Removing stipends at this point in time will not work. Students and parents alike have become used to the mentality of “getting paid for learning”, and this can also be fair on those students who haven’t got the financial means to pay. Different solutions have been proposed. The means test is one of them. But, similar to the living wage argument, what factors will come in play when determining who deserves a stipend and who doesn’t? It will complicate matters incredibly, and will only create resentment among the students because what they think is fair will never be in accordance to what any means test qualifies as fair. Other solutions need to be explored, and rather than re-inventing the wheel, we can look into solutions that have been successfully implemented in other countries.
In my opinion, stipends have to remain, but they will have to be paid back, with a small interest, within say a maximum of a 10 year period after graduation. I think this is only fair. When you are being paid a stipend you are getting the best of both worlds: free education and free money. It’s only fair to return the “money” part of the deal. Nobody can ever take away your education. Besides that, you will leverage on that education to make much more money that you would owe the government for your education. It will also make you approach tertiary education with the correct mindset: an investment that will render big interests at a future date. It will also make you work harder on your studies, because whether you finish your degree or not, you’d eventually have to pay back the fees; and obtaining your degree will definitely make it much easier for you to pay back what you owe. It’s a win-win-win situation for the students, their parents and the taxpayers, a far outcry from the current situation in which everyone is losing out.
Free market economies
Education is the pillar of wealth creation in free market economies, such as the USA, and to a certain extent, the UK. On the other hand, many European countries with strong socialist policies and high taxation to fuel the generous social services tend to have, in general, a lower standard of education and limited budgets for research and innovation. In such countries, private enterprise is not encouraged much since the focus is always on the well-being and comfort of the worker. This creates a situation whereby most private entities are directly or indirectly providing services to public entities and have practically no budget left after taxation for research into new products.
Of course, as we have seen in recent years, even free economies can be abused due to mismanagement of credit, but it still remains that, whereas a free market economy, despite its drawbacks, encourages work, growth and wealth generation due to its complete agreement with the human psyche, markets hindered by extreme socialist policies such as a “living wage” concept are not sustainable. Such policies are based primarily on envy of others’ achievements and hard work, and, because income would have to be shared with those who think they deserve a “living wage”, they work against the human desire to enjoy the fruits of one’s efforts. A living wage, whatever the form it is implemented in, will indeed be bad news for the Maltese economy.